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Technology Prices Defy Inflation (So Far)

Anita Campbell of Small Business TrendsAnita Campbell of Small Business Trends | May 5th, 2008 - 02:04 PM
(25) found this useful. Do you? Yes

For a number of years the price of technology to run our businesses has been dropping quite dramatically. Let me give you three general examples:

- Computer hardware — Computers far more powerful than the one with the Pentium I chip that cost me $2,500 a number of years ago, now sell for a little over $500. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, prices of personal computer equipment have dropped 10% to 28% each year since 2000.

- Telecommunications — The prices of making phone calls are much cheaper, too. VOIP providers now offer unlimited calling plans within the U.S. and Canada for affordable flat monthly rates. Competition from non-traditional providers, including cable companies and eBay’s almost-free Skype service, has pressured the established telecom companies like AT&T to come out with bundled services to give the VOIP and cable companies a serious run for the money, especially in big metropolitan markets. Small businesses are beneficiaries of all this competition, in the form of lower prices.

- Software – Prices for business software also have come down in price, dropping 3% to 9% each year since 2000. And that doesn’t even tell the full story. You now can find free alternatives on the market in many business productivity categories, thanks to the open source movement. Software-as-a-service options also make powerful software available at hard-to-believe low monthly prices. And as competition heats up in some segments, some vendors such as Intuit are giving away introductory versions of their feature-rich proprietary software for free, to snag you as a loyal customer with the hope of some day in the future “upselling” you to a higher level package as your needs increase.

So what’s all this talk about inflation rearing its ugly little head? How can we can have inflation and rising prices that are squeezing some small businesses mercilessly (like this story about pizza shop owners), while the cost of technology keeps coming down? This fascinating chart tells the tale:

Inflation chart

This chart is from the New York Times (click to go over to the New York Times website and see the full-size interactive chart).

Simply put, this chart shows that inflation has crept into certain prices, but not others. The chart shows the proportion of spending among U.S. consumers year over year, March 2007 to March 2008. The blue areas are spending categories where prices have gone down. The yellow, orange and brown areas are categories where prices have gone up since last year.

As you can see, prices in some areas have gone up: gasoline, fuel, certain foods. Prices in other areas have gone down, including technology, communications, certain apparel items.

So what’s the bottom line? For small businesses it means that inflation hits some businesses harder than others.

Depending on how heavily your business depends on the materials in certain categories, your business could either be hurting or not hurting so much. For instance, if you run a pizza shop, where the price of flour has increased several hundred percent, you are definitely hurting. On the other hand, if you run a consulting business, you may not be feeling the effects of inflation so acutely. In fact, with lower technology prices, you may feel downright lucky in the inflation sweepstakes.

We’ll see how long technology prices keep dropping and defying inflation.

Posted in Money Management, Technology

Posted:
2:04 PM on May 5, 2008
By: Anita Campbell

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6 Responses to “Technology Prices Defy Inflation (So Far)”

  1. Jarrard T | May 6th, 2008 at 3:48 am

    HI Anita-

    This is an awesome post and a fascinating chart. Thanks so much for sharing!

  2. Amanda | May 6th, 2008 at 8:56 am

    That is a very interesting chart. They sure didn’t leave anything out.

  3. Small business inflation | Small Business Trends | May 7th, 2008 at 9:43 am

    […] What do you think is happening? Weigh in with your opinion about: Technology Prices Defy Inflation (So Far) […]

  4. Jim Van | May 14th, 2008 at 10:13 am

    While both hardware and software prices are dropping, the desktop and its applications are becoming more and more complex. It’s become more difficult for most small businesses to manage their technology investment.

    Take, for example, the migration to MS Office 2007. Once the learning curve is at least partially met, its collabration power and use of online resources is awesome.

    However, the migration from office 2003 and before to the new 2007 format is nothing short of excruciating for most SMB clients, and there is still a dearth of support for the product.

    Another show-stopper for SMB’s is the constantly changing tech landscape. For example, there is no shortage of online applications, ranging from simple MS-Office type suites to CRM (customer relationship management) and HR systems that do nearly as good a job for SMB’s as Peoplesoft does for the Enterprise.

    Then, there’s Linux and Open Source apps. With many delaying a migration to Vista, or planning to skip it altogether, operating systems like Linux Ubuntu and Office Suites like Open Office are beginning to have more appeal, particularly as many are free….

    Lots of challenges ahead, but not neessarily for PC’s or Server purchases….

  5. Rapidly falling prices for technology » Center for Ethics and Entrepreneurship | June 5th, 2008 at 2:58 pm

    […] Anita Campbell writes at Open Forum about how technology prices have kept dropping. […]

  6. Brian Dowling | July 15th, 2008 at 8:49 pm

    My hypothysis is that its the ability of technology to increase productivity following Moore and other so-called laws. As long as this happens there will be lower costs, though how long this will happen is another technical question. It is also how business people from entrepreneurs to secretaries in corporate offices use this technology. That according to the Berkeley macro-economic class I have been viewing is where the majority of the productivity boost comes from.

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